US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

Hey, at least you yanks are in the same boat as us Englishmen. We're all in it together.

The Truth Has Set Me Free wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

Hey, at least you yanks are in the same boat as us Englishmen. We're all in it together.

Our president idolizes the European disaster so I imagine we'll only get closer and closer.

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.

SuperByNature wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.

I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.

Jarrett wrote:

SuperByNature wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.

I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.

I can't think of one off the top of my head, but policies sometimes take a while to have a benefit. For example, some of fdr's stuff took a while to help, but when they did, they changed things such as banking forever. Lincoln's emancipation ruined south economy for a lot of years, but we can both agree that eliminating slaves is a good thing.

SuperByNature wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

SuperByNature wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.

I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.

I can't think of one off the top of my head, but policies sometimes take a while to have a benefit. For example, some of fdr's stuff took a while to help, but when they did, they changed things such as banking forever. Lincoln's emancipation ruined south economy for a lot of years, but we can both agree that eliminating slaves is a good thing.

We can agree on it? According to our vice president, I want to "put [them] back in chains."

Jarrett wrote:

SuperByNature wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

SuperByNature wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Richie wrote:

I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.

It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.

I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.

I can't think of one off the top of my head, but policies sometimes take a while to have a benefit. For example, some of fdr's stuff took a while to help, but when they did, they changed things such as banking forever. Lincoln's emancipation ruined south economy for a lot of years, but we can both agree that eliminating slaves is a good thing.

We can agree on it? According to our vice president, I want to "put [them] back in chains."

Well played.

First post updated with a new map:

Two political science professors at Colorado University have made an electoral prediction for the 2012 election. They have been doing this since 1980 and have gotten it right every single time; even in 2000 when Gore won the popular vote and Bush won the electoral vote. And they have picked Mitt Romney.

Under their prediction, practically every undecided state would go to Romney.

The twelve closest states (with electoral votes in parentheses) are as follows:

Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Florida (29), Michigan (16), Missouri (10), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10).

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by an average of 1.6%.
In Iowa, Obama is ahead by an average of 1.0%.
In Florida, it is a dead tie at 46.3% apiece.
In Michigan, Obama is ahead by an average of 3.8%.
In Missouri, Romney is ahead by an average of 4.3%.
In Nevada, Obama is ahead by an average of 4.2%.
In New Hampshire, Obama is ahead by an average of 3.5%.
In North Carolina, Romney is ahead by an average of 1.0%.
In Ohio, Obama is ahead by an average of 2.0%.
In Pennsylvania, Obama is ahead by an average of 8.0%.
In Virginia, Obama is ahead by an average of 0.6%.
In Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by an average of 1.4%.

Keep in mind that pretty much anything under 5% is within the margin of error, making those states a statistical tie.

Mormons are retarded.

Mitt Romney has reached the number of delegates necessary at the Republican National Convention, making him the nominee for the Republican Party. He will accept Thursday.

Jarrett wrote:

Mitt Romney has reached the number of delegates necessary at the Republican National Convention, making him the nominee for the Republican Party. He will accept Thursday.

Mormons are still retarded though.

Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.

Jarrett wrote:

Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.

Yeah but he's mormon, so he's retarded.

TJ! wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.

Yeah but he's mormon, so he's retarded.

Seems pretty intelligent to me.

Jarrett wrote:

TJ! wrote:

Jarrett wrote:

Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.

Yeah but he's mormon, so he's retarded.

Seems pretty intelligent to me.

Nope.

I took the quiz twice, slightly altering some of my decisions. According to iSideWith.com, I support:

- Republican nominee Mitt Romney on 92% (first time) and 86% (second time) of the issues.
- Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson on 68% (first time) and 72% (second time) of the issues.
- Constitution nominee Virgil Goode on 43% (first time) and 30% (second time) of the issues.
- Democratic nominee Barack Obama on 39% (first time) and 51% (second time) of the issues.
- Justice nominee Rocky Anderson on 11% (first time) and 10% (second time) of the issues.
- Green nominee Jill Stein on 5% (first time) and 9% (second time) of the issues.

Take it for yourself and see.

I got Mitt Romney with 88%
Gary Johnson 63%
Virgil Goode 56%
Barry Obama 51%

I only agree with the IL nimrods on 39% of the issues
and 41% with America

White guy wrote:

I got Mitt Romney with 88%
Gary Johnson 63%
Virgil Goode 56%
Barry Obama 51%

I only agree with the IL nimrods on 39% of the issues
and 41% with America

On my first time, I got 43% with other New Yorkers and 48% with Americans. Second try I got 41% NY and 43% America.

If you take a look at the 12 closest states, here is the average you get when mixing together all of the polling.

States that Obama saw an increase in, leads:
Colorado - Obama +2.3%, formerly Obama +1.6% (Obama +0.7%, Romney -0.7%)
Michigan - Obama +2.4%, formerly Obama +2.0% (Obama +0.4%, Romney -0.4%)

States that Romney saw an increase in, leads:
Missouri - Romney +6.0%, formerly Romney +4.3% (Obama -1.7%, Romney +1.7%)
North Carolina - Romney +2.0%, formerly Romney +1.0% (Obama -1.0%, Romney +1.0%)

States that Obama saw a decrease in, still leads / states that Romney saw an increase in, still trails:
Iowa - Obama +0.2%, formerly Obama +1.0% (Obama -0.8%, Romney +0.8%)
Florida - Obama +0.6%, formerly Obama +1.0% (Obama -0.4%, Romney +0.4%)
Nevada - Obama +3.3%, formerly Obama +4.3% (Obama -1.0%, Romney +1.0%)
Ohio - Obama +0.7%, formerly Obama +2.0% (Obama -1.3%, Romney +1.3%)
Pennsylvania - Obama +7.7%, formerly Obama +8.0% (Obama -0.3%, Romney +0.3%)

States that didn't change:
New Hampshire - Obama +3.5%, formerly Obama +3.5%
Virginia - Obama +0.6%, formerly Obama +0.6%
Wisconsin - Obama +1.4%, formerly Obama +1.4%

Election day is now just under two months away.

According to Gallup polling:

By gender -
Men: Romney 50%, Obama 43%
Women: Obama 51%, Romney 42%

By age -
18-29 years: Obama 59%, Romney 33%
30-49 years: Romney 47%, Obama 45%
50-64 years: Obama 48%, Romney 45%
65+ years: Romney 52%, Obama 42%

By location -
East: Obama 55%, Romney 38%
Midwest: Obama 48%, Romney 46%
South: Romney 50%, Obama 43%
West: Obama 46%, Romney 46%

By race -
White (non-Hispanic): Romney 54%, Obama 39%
Nonwhite: Obama 78%, Romney 15%
Black: Obama 90%, Romney 4%
Hispanic: Obama 64%, Romney 27%

By education -
High school or less: Obama 47%, Romney 44%
Some college: Romney 48%, Obama 45%
College graduate: Romney 49%, Obama 45%
Postgraduate: Obama 56%, Romney 40%

By income -
Less than $36,000: Obama 55%, Romney 38%
$36,000-$89,999: Obama 47%, Romney 47%
$90,000 or more: Romney 51%, Obama 44%

By party -
Democrat: Obama 91%, Romney 6%
Independent: Obama 43%, Romney 43%
Republican: Romney 92%, Obama 6%

By ideology -
Liberal: Obama 85%, Romney 10%
Moderate: Obama 58%, Romney 33%
Conservative: Romney 77%, Obama 17%

By religion -
Protestant Christian: Romney 53%, Obama 41%
Catholic Christian: Obama 47%, Romney 45%
No religion: Obama 69%, Romney 23%
Highly religious: Romney 57%, Obama 36%
Moderately religious: Obama 48%, Romney 44%
Nonreligious: Obama 63%, Romney 30%

By marital status -
Married: Romney 54%, Obama 40%
Not married: Obama 58%, Romney 34%

Amongst whites -
White men: Romney 59%, Obama 35%
White women: Romney 50%, Obama 43%
White, 18-29 years: Obama 46%, Romney 45%
White, 30+ years: Romney 56%, Obama 38%
White, less than postgraduate: Romney 56%, Obama 37%
White, postgraduate: Obama 52%, Romney 44%
White, single: Obama 53%, Romney 40%
White, married: Romney 58%, Obama 36%
White, Christian: Romney 61%, Obama 32%
White, non-Christian or no religion: Obama 68%, Romney 26%
White, highly or moderately religious: Romney 64%, Obama 29%
White, nonreligious: Obama 60%, Romney 33%

The first presidential debate took place last night, and it is widely recognized that Mitt Romney outdid the President. There will be two more presidential debates this month, along with one vice presidential.