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 US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns

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The Truth Has Set Me Free
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Thu Aug 16, 2012 10:57 am

Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

Hey, at least you yanks are in the same boat as us Englishmen. We're all in it together.
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Thu Aug 16, 2012 12:12 pm

The Truth Has Set Me Free wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.

Hey, at least you yanks are in the same boat as us Englishmen. We're all in it together.
Our president idolizes the European disaster so I imagine we'll only get closer and closer.

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SuperByNature
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Thu Aug 16, 2012 10:36 pm

Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.
I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Thu Aug 16, 2012 10:49 pm

SuperByNature wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.
I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.
I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 17, 2012 12:10 am

Jarrett wrote:
SuperByNature wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.
I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.
I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.
I can't think of one off the top of my head, but policies sometimes take a while to have a benefit. For example, some of fdr's stuff took a while to help, but when they did, they changed things such as banking forever. Lincoln's emancipation ruined south economy for a lot of years, but we can both agree that eliminating slaves is a good thing.
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 17, 2012 12:16 am

SuperByNature wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
SuperByNature wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.
I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.
I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.
I can't think of one off the top of my head, but policies sometimes take a while to have a benefit. For example, some of fdr's stuff took a while to help, but when they did, they changed things such as banking forever. Lincoln's emancipation ruined south economy for a lot of years, but we can both agree that eliminating slaves is a good thing.
We can agree on it? According to our vice president, I want to "put [them] back in chains."

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SuperByNature
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:53 am

Jarrett wrote:
SuperByNature wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
SuperByNature wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Richie wrote:
I really think it doesn't matter who wins, because in the end, in my opinion, we screwed.
It's going to take two terms of Romney to even begin to fix this administration's failures.
I don't believe romney can fix it, because i think he'll be expected to repeal everything, or at least a lot, that the obama administration has done or he'll be bounced in the next election. and repealing everything isn't good.
I'll agree that it isn't always a good thing to just repeal, repeal, repeal. It seems to happen often. We keep switching back and forth between parties for president and they try to cancel out the last's policies and create their own. Though I'll challenge you to give me an Obama-made policy that doesn't deserve repeal.
I can't think of one off the top of my head, but policies sometimes take a while to have a benefit. For example, some of fdr's stuff took a while to help, but when they did, they changed things such as banking forever. Lincoln's emancipation ruined south economy for a lot of years, but we can both agree that eliminating slaves is a good thing.
We can agree on it? According to our vice president, I want to "put [them] back in chains."
Well played.
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Jarrett
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Thu Aug 23, 2012 11:58 pm

First post updated with a new map:


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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 24, 2012 1:16 pm

Two political science professors at Colorado University have made an electoral prediction for the 2012 election. They have been doing this since 1980 and have gotten it right every single time; even in 2000 when Gore won the popular vote and Bush won the electoral vote. And they have picked Mitt Romney.

Under their prediction, practically every undecided state would go to Romney.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Sun Aug 26, 2012 2:06 pm

The twelve closest states (with electoral votes in parentheses) are as follows:

Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Florida (29), Michigan (16), Missouri (10), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10).

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by an average of 1.6%.
In Iowa, Obama is ahead by an average of 1.0%.
In Florida, it is a dead tie at 46.3% apiece.
In Michigan, Obama is ahead by an average of 3.8%.
In Missouri, Romney is ahead by an average of 4.3%.
In Nevada, Obama is ahead by an average of 4.2%.
In New Hampshire, Obama is ahead by an average of 3.5%.
In North Carolina, Romney is ahead by an average of 1.0%.
In Ohio, Obama is ahead by an average of 2.0%.
In Pennsylvania, Obama is ahead by an average of 8.0%.
In Virginia, Obama is ahead by an average of 0.6%.
In Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by an average of 1.4%.

Keep in mind that pretty much anything under 5% is within the margin of error, making those states a statistical tie.

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TJ
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Sun Aug 26, 2012 3:45 pm

Mormons are retarded.
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Jarrett
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:48 pm

Mitt Romney has reached the number of delegates necessary at the Republican National Convention, making him the nominee for the Republican Party. He will accept Thursday.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:18 pm

Jarrett wrote:
Mitt Romney has reached the number of delegates necessary at the Republican National Convention, making him the nominee for the Republican Party. He will accept Thursday.
Mormons are still retarded though.
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 31, 2012 12:51 am

Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 31, 2012 11:23 am

Jarrett wrote:
Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.
Yeah but he's mormon, so he's retarded.
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 31, 2012 11:35 am

TJ! wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.
Yeah but he's mormon, so he's retarded.
Seems pretty intelligent to me.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Fri Aug 31, 2012 11:51 am

Jarrett wrote:
TJ! wrote:
Jarrett wrote:
Mitt Romney has officially accepted the Republican nomination for president.
Yeah but he's mormon, so he's retarded.
Seems pretty intelligent to me.
Nope.
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Tue Sep 04, 2012 1:33 am

I took the quiz twice, slightly altering some of my decisions. According to iSideWith.com, I support:

- Republican nominee Mitt Romney on 92% (first time) and 86% (second time) of the issues.
- Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson on 68% (first time) and 72% (second time) of the issues.
- Constitution nominee Virgil Goode on 43% (first time) and 30% (second time) of the issues.
- Democratic nominee Barack Obama on 39% (first time) and 51% (second time) of the issues.
- Justice nominee Rocky Anderson on 11% (first time) and 10% (second time) of the issues.
- Green nominee Jill Stein on 5% (first time) and 9% (second time) of the issues.

Take it for yourself and see.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Tue Sep 04, 2012 1:43 am

I got Mitt Romney with 88%
Gary Johnson 63%
Virgil Goode 56%
Barry Obama 51%

I only agree with the IL nimrods on 39% of the issues
and 41% with America
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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Tue Sep 04, 2012 2:17 am

White guy wrote:
I got Mitt Romney with 88%
Gary Johnson 63%
Virgil Goode 56%
Barry Obama 51%

I only agree with the IL nimrods on 39% of the issues
and 41% with America
On my first time, I got 43% with other New Yorkers and 48% with Americans. Second try I got 41% NY and 43% America.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Wed Sep 05, 2012 6:22 pm

If you take a look at the 12 closest states, here is the average you get when mixing together all of the polling.

States that Obama saw an increase in, leads:
Colorado - Obama +2.3%, formerly Obama +1.6% (Obama +0.7%, Romney -0.7%)
Michigan - Obama +2.4%, formerly Obama +2.0% (Obama +0.4%, Romney -0.4%)

States that Romney saw an increase in, leads:
Missouri - Romney +6.0%, formerly Romney +4.3% (Obama -1.7%, Romney +1.7%)
North Carolina - Romney +2.0%, formerly Romney +1.0% (Obama -1.0%, Romney +1.0%)

States that Obama saw a decrease in, still leads / states that Romney saw an increase in, still trails:
Iowa - Obama +0.2%, formerly Obama +1.0% (Obama -0.8%, Romney +0.8%)
Florida - Obama +0.6%, formerly Obama +1.0% (Obama -0.4%, Romney +0.4%)
Nevada - Obama +3.3%, formerly Obama +4.3% (Obama -1.0%, Romney +1.0%)
Ohio - Obama +0.7%, formerly Obama +2.0% (Obama -1.3%, Romney +1.3%)
Pennsylvania - Obama +7.7%, formerly Obama +8.0% (Obama -0.3%, Romney +0.3%)

States that didn't change:
New Hampshire - Obama +3.5%, formerly Obama +3.5%
Virginia - Obama +0.6%, formerly Obama +0.6%
Wisconsin - Obama +1.4%, formerly Obama +1.4%

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Sat Sep 08, 2012 5:10 pm

Election day is now just under two months away.

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Sat Sep 08, 2012 6:16 pm

Alabama: No polls, projected winner is Romney
Alaska: No polls, projected winner is Romney
Arizona: Obama 41.7%, Romney 52.7%
Arkansas: Obama 33.5%, Romney 53.5%
California: Obama 54.5%, Romney 37.3%
Colorado: Obama 47.8%, Romney 45.5%
Connecticut: Obama 52.0%, Romney 42.7%
Delaware: No polls, projected winner is Obama
DC: No polls, projected winner is Obama
Florida: Obama 47.3%, Romney 46.7%
Georgia: Obama 41.0%, Romney 50.3%
Hawaii: Obama 59.0%, Romney 32.0%
Idaho: No polls, projected winner is Romney
Illinois: Obama 50.7%, Romney 36.3%
Indiana: Obama 37.5%, Romney 50.0%
Iowa: Illinois: Obama 45.0%, Romney 44.8%
Kansas: Obama 35.0%, Romney 52.0%
Kentucky: Obama 40.0%, Romney 48.0%
Louisiana: Obama 37.0%, Romney 57.0%
Maine: Obama 50.7%, Romney 35.3%
Maryland: Illinois: Obama 58.0%, Romney 35.0%
Massachusetts: Obama 54.0%, Romney 35.3%
Michigan: Obama 47.8%, Romney 45.4%
Minnesota: Obama 50.0%, Romney 39.5%
Mississippi: Obama 38.0%, Romney 50.0%
Missouri: Obama 43.7%, Romney 49.7%
Montana: Obama 40.9%, Romney 50.1%
Nebraska: Obama 37.6%, Romney 51.2%
Nevada: Obama 49.0%, Romney 45.7%
New Hampshire: Obama 48.3%, Romney 44.8%
New Jersey: Obama 50.3%, Romney 39.8%
New Mexico: Obama 50.7%, Romney 40.7%
New York: Obama 58.0%, Romney 33.3%
North Carolina: Obama 45.3%, Romney 47.3%
North Dakota: Obama 37.5%, Romney 51.5%
Ohio: Obama 46.2%, Romney 45.5%
Oklahoma: Obama 28.0%, Romney 60.0%
Oregon: Obama 49.0%, Romney 40.4%
Pennsylvania: Obama 49.0%, Romney 41.3%
Rhode Island: Obama 54.0%, Romney 37.0%
South Carolina: Obama 41.2%, Romney 48.0%
South Dakota: Obama 40.0%, Romney 46.0%
Tennessee: Obama 40.3%, Romney 46.0%
Texas: Obama 42.0%, Romney 49.0%
Utah: Obama 26.5%, Romney 67.8%
Vermont: Obama 58.3%, Romney 30.0%
Virginia: Obama 47.3%, Romney 46.7%
Washington: Obama 52.0%, Romney 39.8%
West Virginia: Obama 35.7%, Romney 51.0%
Wisconsin: Obama 48.2%, Romney 46.8%
Wyoming: No polls, projected winner is Romney

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Sun Sep 16, 2012 12:27 am

According to Gallup polling:

By gender -
Men: Romney 50%, Obama 43%
Women: Obama 51%, Romney 42%

By age -
18-29 years: Obama 59%, Romney 33%
30-49 years: Romney 47%, Obama 45%
50-64 years: Obama 48%, Romney 45%
65+ years: Romney 52%, Obama 42%

By location -
East: Obama 55%, Romney 38%
Midwest: Obama 48%, Romney 46%
South: Romney 50%, Obama 43%
West: Obama 46%, Romney 46%

By race -
White (non-Hispanic): Romney 54%, Obama 39%
Nonwhite: Obama 78%, Romney 15%
Black: Obama 90%, Romney 4%
Hispanic: Obama 64%, Romney 27%

By education -
High school or less: Obama 47%, Romney 44%
Some college: Romney 48%, Obama 45%
College graduate: Romney 49%, Obama 45%
Postgraduate: Obama 56%, Romney 40%

By income -
Less than $36,000: Obama 55%, Romney 38%
$36,000-$89,999: Obama 47%, Romney 47%
$90,000 or more: Romney 51%, Obama 44%

By party -
Democrat: Obama 91%, Romney 6%
Independent: Obama 43%, Romney 43%
Republican: Romney 92%, Obama 6%

By ideology -
Liberal: Obama 85%, Romney 10%
Moderate: Obama 58%, Romney 33%
Conservative: Romney 77%, Obama 17%

By religion -
Protestant Christian: Romney 53%, Obama 41%
Catholic Christian: Obama 47%, Romney 45%
No religion: Obama 69%, Romney 23%
Highly religious: Romney 57%, Obama 36%
Moderately religious: Obama 48%, Romney 44%
Nonreligious: Obama 63%, Romney 30%

By marital status -
Married: Romney 54%, Obama 40%
Not married: Obama 58%, Romney 34%

Amongst whites -
White men: Romney 59%, Obama 35%
White women: Romney 50%, Obama 43%
White, 18-29 years: Obama 46%, Romney 45%
White, 30+ years: Romney 56%, Obama 38%
White, less than postgraduate: Romney 56%, Obama 37%
White, postgraduate: Obama 52%, Romney 44%
White, single: Obama 53%, Romney 40%
White, married: Romney 58%, Obama 36%
White, Christian: Romney 61%, Obama 32%
White, non-Christian or no religion: Obama 68%, Romney 26%
White, highly or moderately religious: Romney 64%, Obama 29%
White, nonreligious: Obama 60%, Romney 33%

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PostSubject: Re: US: 2012 Presidential Campaigns   Thu Oct 04, 2012 9:24 pm

The first presidential debate took place last night, and it is widely recognized that Mitt Romney outdid the President. There will be two more presidential debates this month, along with one vice presidential.

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